N.Y. Governor Plans Mass Layoff of Government Workers to Balance Budget

Published June 01, 2010

| Associated Press

NEW YORK — A member of New York Gov. David Paterson’s administration said the governor is putting together a plan that would lay off thousands of government workers at the beginning of next year to help balance the statebudget.

The administration official confirmed a report Tuesday in The New York Times that Paterson will direct state agencies to begin picking positions that could be eliminated starting Jan. 1.

That date marks the expiration of the no-layoffs pledge Paterson gave public employee unions last year in exchange for an agreement to reduce pension costs. It would also be the day Paterson leaves office.

The official spoke on condition of anonymity because the plan hasn’t been formally announced.
State leaders are facing a $9.2 billion deficit this year and still haven’t completed a budget for the fiscal year that began April 1.

Get Ready To Taste The Bitter Side Of Keynesian Economics

Most Americans have no idea what the term “Keynesian economics” means, but the truth is that it has been deeply influencing U.S. economic policy for decades.  Essentially, it is an economic theory that originated with a 20th century British economist named John Maynard Keynes, and it advocates government intervention in the economy in order to smooth out economic cycles.  The general idea was that lower interest rates and increased government spending could be used to increase aggregate demand when the economy was experiencing a downturn, thus increasing economic activity and reducing unemployment.

And you know what?

To a certain degree, Keynesian economic theory actually does work.

Increased government spending DOES stimulate the economy.

But the problem is that governments all over the world decided that they would just run constant budget deficits and stimulate the economy all the time.

All of this debt has brought a temporary prosperity to many of the nations around the globe, but there is one huge problem with debt.

It has to be paid back eventually.

With interest.

So what happens when nations have to start spending huge chunks of their national budgets just to service all the debt that they have piled up?

Well, that is when they taste the bitter side of Keynesian economics.

In fact, we see that starting to happen all over the world right now.

All of a sudden, governments all over the globe are talking about huge budget cuts, pay decreases, and higher taxes.

We all know about what is going on in Greece right now, but suddenly it seems like ”austerity measures” are being implemented all over the place.  Just consider the following examples….

*Portugal has pledged to impose fresh austerity measures that include much higher taxes and dramatic budget cuts.

*Barack Obama is personally pressuring Spain to make severe austerity cuts.

*It’s not just Southern Europe that is facing these austerity measures either.  It is being reported that Germans are bracing themselves for a “bitter” round of budget cuts.

*The exploding debt situation in the U.K.was a major issue in the most recent election.  Bank of England governor Mervyn King has even gone so far as to warn that public anger over the ”austerity measures” that soon must be implemented in the U.K. will be so painful that whichever party is seen as responsible will be out of power for a generation.

*Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke says that United States citizens will soon have to make difficult choices between higher taxes and reduced government spending.

*California Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger is reportedly planning to seek “terrible cuts” to eliminate an $18.6 billion budget deficit facing the most-populous U.S. state through June 2011.

*In fact, many U.S. states are getting ready for their biggest budget cuts in decades.

Austerity measures for everyone?

That is the way it is shaping up.

So what happens when austerity measures are implemented?

Well, just as Keynesian economics correctly predicts that economic growth goes up when government spending increases, it also correctly tells us that economic growth goes down when government spending decreases.

So all of these austerity measures are going to mean economic pain for a whole lot of people.

Not only that, but there are now whispers that this European debt crisis could potentially cause the break up of the euro.

Whether or not that is actually the case, officials in Europe are sure seizing on this crisis to advocate for increased centralization of power in the EU.

For example, senior administrators of the European Union are proposing that they be given unprecedented power to scrutinize the spending plans of member countries before national parliaments can vote on those budgets.

Talk about a loss of sovereignty.

But not only that, the Governor of the Bank of England, Mervyn King, has come right out and said that he believes that the European Union must become a federalized fiscal union if it is to survive.

Doesn’t it seem like whenever there is a crisis the solution that is always being proposed is to give centralized institutions even more power?

There has also been talk that nations such as Greece could end up being ejected from the euro, but the reality is that such a scenario is not very likely.

For one thing, the ECB has already come out and said that under current EU law, ejection of a nation from the monetary union is “legally next to impossible”.

In addition, leaders throughout Europe realize that if the euro fails then the entire EU may fail as well.  German Chancellor Angela Merkel made this very clear when she recently warned that if the euro collapses, “then Europe and the idea of European union will fail.”

For many in Europe that would seem like a disaster, but the truth is that it would be a wonderful, wonderful thing if the euro failed.

Why?

Because it would represent a major defeat for those who are seeking to drag us towards a “world currency” and a “global government”.

It would also be a huge victory for those who still believe in national sovereignty and the decentralization of economic power.

So let us hope that the euro breaks up.

But don’t count on it.

Meanwhile, the one thing that we can count on is all of the economic pain that all of these new austerity measures are going to bring.

What Drives Motivation in the Modern Workplace?

Summary

As part of his ongoing coverage making sense of financial news, business and economics corespondent Paul Solman reports on what drives people’s behavior in the modern workplace.

Transcript

PAUL SOLMAN: The candle, box of tacks, book of matches, an old puzzle with a strangely relevant economic message. Objective? Fix the lit candle to the wall so no wax hits the table.

Economics: The faster you do it, the more money you make. Punchline: Conventional economics is wrong, because the greater the monetary incentive, the longer the solution takes, a solution you will see in a bit.

Relevance? Executive pay and Wall Street bonuses, which might not enhance, but actually retard, high performance, or so says writer Dan Pink, once Al Gore’s chief speechwriter. Pink’s first book, “A Whole New Mind,” made waves by arguing that skills linked to the creative right side of our brains dominate today’s global economy, instead of left hemisphere thinking.

DANIEL PINK, author, “Drive”: Logical, linear, sequential, analytical, SAT abilities, spreadsheet abilities, and, today, those abilities are essential, but they’re not enough. And it’s now abilities characteristic of the right hemisphere: artistry, empathy, inventiveness, big-picture thinking.

And that’s changed the game of business, too, because what its done is, it’s put a premium on coming up with something new, profoundly new, iterating something the world didn’t know it was missing.

PAUL SOLMAN: Pink’s new book, “Drive,” takes the next step: You motivate right brain creativity with more human, less material incentives.

DANIEL PINK: We tend to think that the way you get people to perform at a high level is, you reward what you want and punish what you don’t want, carrot and stick. If you do this, then you get that.

That turns out, the science says, to be an extraordinarily effective way of motivating people for those routine tasks, simple, straightforward, where there’s a right answer. They end up being a terrible form for motivating people to do creative conceptual tasks.

PAUL SOLMAN: How does the science show this?

DANIEL PINK: If you offer me a reward, $500 reward, you have my attention, absolutely. A contingent reward gets you to focus like this, narrow vision. If the answer is right in front of you, that’s terrific. You race a lot faster. But if you have this kind of vision for a creative conceptual problem, you’re going to blow it. You’re not going to do anything good.

PAUL SOLMAN: Now, before you economists out there click to some stock market channel, a bit more of the candle experiment, run in the ’60s by psychologist Sam Glucksberg. He offered $5, maybe 50 bucks in today’s money, to those who solved it faster than most people, but $20, $200 today, for the fastest time of all.

With eyes on the prize and time of the essence, many folks melted the side of the candle and tried to stick it to the wall, a quick way, it turned out, to watch your hopes melt.

PAUL SOLMAN: Meanwhile, Dan Pink took us to Hunt Valley, Maryland, to show us non-material incentives in action.

MAURY WEINSTEIN, CEO, System Source: Welcome to our computer museum.

PAUL SOLMAN: Maury Weinstein has been marketing personal computers since their debut in 1981.

MAURY WEINSTEIN: The original IBM P.C…

DANIEL PINK: Oh, man.

MAURY WEINSTEIN: … with two floppy drives. Behind us, the Commodore PET was very interesting because it had the lift-up hood.

DANIEL PINK: So, it was easy to service.

PAUL SOLMAN: Is this the Lisa or this…

MAURY WEINSTEIN: This is the original Macintosh. Lisa is right next door.

PAUL SOLMAN: The trip down RAM memory lane reminded us that, in the high-tech era, computer sellers have come and gone as fast as the hardware they have peddled. Yet, this firm, System Source, has grown for three decades, a key reason, says the CEO, the decision to drop sales commissions 15 years ago.

He explains, with a hint of Karl Marx.

MAURY WEINSTEIN: We find that money often disrupts relationships. It disrupts customer efforts. And, sometimes, it makes the customer feel like a piece of meat, where you can’t trust the salesperson’s recommendations. And that’s a very slippery slope at that point.

MAN: This is Jason calling from System Source P.C.s.

PAUL SOLMAN: Weinstein says sales spurted 44 percent as soon as commissions were canned in 1994. Profitability rose threefold.

Ed Johnakin, a system source salesman for 17 years, says commissions have a downside.

ED JOHNAKIN, Salesman, System Source: Some salespeople may push customers into things that they might not necessarily need.

PAUL SOLMAN: Did you ever do that?

ED JOHNAKIN: No, no, no, no.

ED JOHNAKIN: Yes, maybe once or twice.

PAUL SOLMAN: So, no commission, no incentive to sell stuff customers might be better off without.

Salesman John Burke.

JOHN BURKE, Salesman, System Source: I’m not looking to strike it rich or hit a pot of gold with one deal and then move on. I’m looking to foster a long-term relationship with a customer.

PAUL SOLMAN: But were we perhaps seeing System Source through Pink-colored glasses?

DANIEL PINK: I think System Source is fundamentally an early adopter for a very new approach to business, which basically says that people have other motivations besides grabbing that carrot, that they actually want to do good work.

PAUL SOLMAN: Speaking of good work, figured out the candle answer yet?

With dollar signs in their eyes and the clock ticking in their heads, some folks tack the candle to the wall. That falls flat — no surprise, though, to Swarthmore psychologist Barry Schwartz, who’s studied motivation for decades.

BARRY SCHWARTZ, psychologist, Swarthmore College: Money isn’t a natural part of anything we do. It’s not a part of practicing medicine. You know, the natural thing to practicing medicine is healing people. Getting paid for it is unnatural, similarly with law and with any profession, teaching. So, maybe what happens is that what money does is, it disconnects people from the real point and purpose of their activity.

PAUL SOLMAN: Case in point, Wall Street bonuses, which, Schwartz insists, fueled the crash.

BARRY SCHWARTZ: It created in people who ran these companies unbelievable short term-ism, because all that mattered was making the company look good for the next quarter or the next year, so that they would get a huge bonus in the form of stock options, which they would then cash in. And what the consequence was for the company five years down the road was of no concern to them — a disaster.

PAUL SOLMAN: Now, if cash incentives don’t even work for salespeople, says Dan Pink, think how useless they are in a right brain world. Consider Wikipedia, the world’s largest source of free information or the free Web browser Firefox, open-source projects created and developed by users for no pay at all.

And why would labor the world over work for free?

SERGE KNYSTAUTAS, open-sourcer: I think by contributing to open-source communities, you can get some gratification and praise and really give yourself a sense of purpose.

PAUL SOLMAN: We gathered a group of open-sourcers in Washington.

CELESTE LYN PAUL, Open-Sourcer: You’re working with people that you like. You’re doing things that you love to do. And it’s just very fulfilling. So, money isn’t the only reason why somebody might want to contribute to it.

PAUL SOLMAN: You’re describing a world that sounds like a marketplace, but it just doesn’t have any money in it.

JOHN YODSNUKIS, Open-Sourcer: You know, you need adequate compensation. You have to live. You have to survive, OK? But, if you ask an artist why they became an artist, a lot of them will say, I can’t do anything else. I have to do this.

It’s the same thing here, you know? It’s the fulfillment, the love of doing it is reason enough.

PAUL SOLMAN: Yes, admits Pink, people need enough dollars to survive. Most of these folks have day jobs. But, after that, humans want autonomy, a sense of purpose, mastery.

DANIEL PINK: We do things because they’re interesting. We do things because we like them. We do things because we get better at them, because they contribute to the world, even if they don’t have a payoff in getting a reward or satisfying some — some biological drive.

This is not a plea for a kinder, gentler approach to business. This is a plea for saying, let’s wake up. Let’s get past our outdated assumptions, and let’s actually run businesses in concert with what the science shows about human performance.

PAUL SOLMAN: Which brings us back to our experiment, one of many over the years that have come to the same conclusion — 128 people took part in the original candle experiment. Those offered money averaged 11 minutes to solve it.

But it turned out that, counter to the predictions of classical economics, those people offered no money at all discovered the solution much faster: tacking the box to the wall, to hold the candle and catch any dripping wax. They did it in an average of just seven-and-a-half minutes, instead of 11, and, thus, the punchline of this story and Dan Pink’s new book: To succeed in today’s global economy, it’s the fire within that must be lit.

Metal$ are in the pits

By MICHAEL GRAY

Last Updated: 4:33 AM, April 11, 2010

Posted: 2:10 AM, April 11, 2010

There is no silver lining to the activities of JPMorgan Chase and HSBC in the precious-metals market here and in London, says a 40-year veteran of the metal pits.

The banks, which do the Federal Reserve’s bidding in the metals markets, have long been the government’s lead actors in keeping down the prices of gold and silver, according to a former Goldman Sachs trader working at the London Bullion Market Association.

Maguire was scheduled to testify last week before the Commodities Futures Trade Commission, which is looking into the activities of large banks in the metals market, but was knocked off the list at the last moment. So, he went public.

Maguire — in an exclusive interview with The Post — explained JPMorgan’s role in the metals pits in both London and here, and how they can generate a profit either way the market moves.

“JPMorgan acts as an agent for the Federal Reserve; they act to halt the rise of gold and silver against the US dollar. JPMorgan is insulated from potential losses [on their short positions] by the Fed and/or the US taxpayer,” Maguire said.

In the gold pits, Maguire sees HSBC betting against the precious metal’s price without having any skin in the game in the form of a naked short.

“HSBC conducts an ongoing manipulative concentrated naked short position in gold. Silver is much easier to manipulate due to its much smaller [market] size,” Maguire added.

“No one at JPMorgan is familiar with Andrew Maguire,” said Brian Marchiony, a company spokesman. HSBC declined to comment.

Also during the CFTC hearing, Jeff Christian, founder of the commodities firm CPM Group, said that the LBMA, the physical delivery market for gold and silver in the UK, has been using leverage, which is another way to depress the price of gold and silver.

Christian said that the LBMA — the same market Maguire trades in — has leverage of about 100-1 on the gold bars settled on the exchange. In layman’s terms, that means if 100 clients requested their bullion bars be delivered, the exchange could only give one client the precious metal.

The remaining requests would have to be settled for cash equivalent. “That is tantamount to a default on the trade,” says Bill Murphy, chairman of the Gold Antitrust Action committee.

Maguire goes further and calls it a fraud: “If you sell something you do not own, then that is fraud.”

Back in 2007, Morgan Stanley agreed to settle a $4.4-million lawsuit brought by precious-metal clients, who alleged that Morgan offered to buy gold and silver and store it for the investors, but never purchased any metal and still charged them storage fees.

Morgan Stanley denied the charges at the time, but “settled the case to avoid the cost and distractions of continued litigation,” the firm said.

Despite gold’s rise each of the last 10 years, Murphy believes the price of gold today would be closer to $2,300 an ounce if the price just moved with inflation.

Maguire believes the price should be even higher given the fear trade that would have sent prices spiking during the financial crisis in 2008-09.

Both precious metals have seen a recent spike since Maguire’s e-mails became public. Gold has gained 6.5 percent to close at $1,161.55, while silver has spiked 10 percent to $18.38.

According to the e-mails Maguire sent to CFTC regulators, he was spot-on in his expectations of how the precious metals would trade on release of the January jobs report.

This message is to “confirm that the silver manipulation was a great success and played out exactly to plan as predicted yesterday. How would this be possible if the silver market was not in the full control of the parties we discussed in our phone interview,” Maguire wrote to a staff investigator after the trading day.

CFTC commissioner Bart Chilton said, “I’m appreciative of the information Mr. Maguire provided and I’m glad it was introduced into the investigation.”

High, low silver

The prices of gold and silver have been allegedly suppressed by JPMorgan Chase and HSBC, according to a London whistleblower.

Andrew Maguire, who laid out the banks’ plan in e-mails to the CFTC prior to trading on the Comex on Feb. 5.

1.) From: Andrew Maguire

To: Ramirez, Eliud [CFTC]

Cc: BChilton [CFTC]

Sent: Wednesday, February 03, 2010 3:18 PM

Subject: Re: Silver today

Thought it may be helpful to your investigation if I gave you the heads up for a manipulative event signaled for Friday, 5th Feb. Scenario 1. The news is bad (employment is worse). This will have a bullish effect on gold and silver as the US dollar weakens and the precious metals draw bids, spiking them higher. This will be sold into within a very short time (1-5 mins) with thousands of new short contracts being added.

Scenario 2. The news is good (employment is better than expected). This will result in a massive short position being instigated almost immediately with no move up. This will not initially be liquidation of long positions but will result in stops being triggered, again targeting key support levels. Kind regards,

2.) From: Andrew Maguire

To: Ramirez, Eliud [CFTC]

Cc: BChilton [CFTC]; GGensler [CFTC]

Sent: Friday, February 05, 2010 3:37 PM

Subject: Fw: Silver today A final e-mail to confirm that the silver manipulation was a great success and played out EXACTLY to plan as predicted yesterday. How would this be possible if the silver market was not in the full control of the parties we discussed in our phone interview? Kind regards,

3.) Andrew T. Maguire

From: Ramirez, Eliud

To: Andrew Maguire

Sent: Tuesday, February 09, 2010 1:29 PM

Subject: RE: Silver today Good afternoon, Mr. Maguire, I have received and reviewed your email communications. Thank you so very much for your observations.

mgray@nypost.com

Apple to replace keys and wallet with iKey app?

Apple's iKey would see your keys and wallet replaced by an iPhone or similar device

The humble mobile phone. What started out as a communication device has quickly evolved to become a take anywhere entertainment apparatus and essential tool for work and play. So much so that many people feel panic-stricken if they accidentally leave their phone at home. Such separation anxiety could be even worse in the future with a patent filed by Apple suggesting that the company wants the iPhone to replace your house and car keys and wallet, thereby making it even more indispensable. ..

Tags: Apple, iPhone, Mobile Phone, Rfid

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